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House: PPP For Patriot Majority (D) (Feb 2018)

The document summarizes polling results from several congressional districts that show incumbent Republican representatives are vulnerable in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections. Key finding…

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Daily Kos Elections
2K views12 pages

House: PPP For Patriot Majority (D) (Feb 2018)

The document summarizes polling results from several congressional districts that show incumbent Republican representatives are vulnerable in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections. Key findings include: - 9 incumbent Republicans from various states have approval ratings below 50% and could lose re-election. - Hypothetical matchups in 5 districts show Democratic candidates leading or in close races against Republican opponents. - The Republican tax reform law and changes to health care laws proposed by Republicans are unpopular in these districts according to the polls. - Independent voters in these districts strongly prefer Democratic candidates.

2K views12 pages

House: PPP For Patriot Majority (D) (Feb 2018)

The document summarizes polling results from several congressional districts that show incumbent Republican representatives are vulnerable in the upcoming 2018 midterm elections. Key finding…

Uploaded by

Daily Kos Elections
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Public Policy Polling
®
 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
From: Anniken Williams, Public Policy Polling
®
 To: Craig Varoga & Alixandria Lapp at Patriot Majority USA
Subject: Congressional Republicans Vulnerable in Upcoming Re-Elections
Date: February 21, 2018
Thank you for giving us the opportunity to poll in House districts where Members of Congress might be persuasion targets on key issues as the House of Representatives kicks off the 2018 legislative session. Our new survey finds that 9 incumbent Members of Congress from California, Iowa, Kentucky, Maine, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Texas, and Washington could be vulnerable in their upcoming re-elections, and they should be open to listening to their constituents who have strong concerns about both the recently-passed tax reform law and changes to health care laws. Also, 5 districts in California, Florida, Kansas, and Michigan, have upcoming races that look to be quite competitive. Furthermore, the Republican President Donald Trump and Speaker of the House Paul Ryan are both unpopular. Finally, it is important to note that Independent voters in these districts prefer Democratic candidates to Republican candidates for Congress nearly unaminously.
CA-25
In
California’s 25
th
 Congressional District, Republican incumbent Steve Knight has an approval rating of 36%, and 44% disapprove of his job performance. President Trump has an approval rating of 40% and a disapproval rating of 55% in Knight
’s district.
Speaker Paul Ryan is also unpopular with 33% of voters saying they approve of the job he is doing and a majority (56%) responding that they disapprove. These percentages, along with a hypothetical matchup between Knight (42%) and a Democratic candidate (44%), indicate that Knight is quite vulnerable in his upcoming re-election. In addition to the tax plan being unpopular in his district, a majority of voters (83%) indicated they have major (64%) or minor (19%) concerns after Knight voted for a health care plan that allows insurance companies to impose an unfair age tax on people over 50. After voters were given more information about the tax and health care plans, 43% said they would vote for Knight and 45
% said they would vote for his “Democratic
challenger 
.”
 
Support Oppose Recently-passed Tax Reform Law* 36%
47%
 
 
Public Policy Polling
®
 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
Yes No Personally Benefit from Tax Law* 32%
49%
Major Minor None Tax Plan Concerns*
54%
23% 19% Concerns About Health Care Law Changes*
63%
20% 15% Tax Plan Health Care Plan More Negative Opinion Of* 28%
36%
PPP surveyed 703 CA-25 voters from February 12-13, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 3.7%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews.
CA-39
The Congressional seat in California’s 39
th
 Congressional District is looking to be quite competitive.
Ahead of this year’s election, a Democratic candidate is leading in a
hypothetical election matchup against a Republican candidate 45-43. Candidates should  be aware that the tax plan recently passed is unpopular in this district. After voters were given more information about the tax and health care plans, 47% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 43% said they would vote for the Republican candidate.
Support Oppose Recently-passed Tax Reform Law* 37%
45%
Yes No Personally Benefit from Tax Law* 34%
43%
Major Minor None Tax Plan Concerns*
54%
22% 19% Concerns About Health Care Law Changes*
58%
20% 19% Tax Plan Health Care Plan More Negative Opinion Of*
33%
30%
PPP surveyed 657 CA-39 voters from February 12-13, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 3.8%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews.
 
 
Public Policy Polling
®
 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Raleigh, NC 27604 Phone: 888 621-6988 Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
CA-49
 The Congressional seat
in California’s 49
th
 Congressional District is looking to be quite competitive.
Ahead of this year’s election, a Democratic candidate is leading in a
hypothetical election matchup against a Republican candidate 50-41. Candidates should  be aware that the tax plan recently passed is unpopular in this district. After voters were given more information about the tax and health care plans, 49% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 42% said they would vote for the Republican candidate.
Support Oppose Recently-passed Tax Reform Law* 37%
45%
Yes No Personally Benefit from Tax Law* 36%
48%
Major Minor None Tax Plan Concerns*
56%
18% 24% Concerns About Health Care Law Changes*
61%
13% 21% Tax Plan Health Care Plan More Negative Opinion Of* 30%
37%
PPP surveyed 659 CA-49 voters from February 12-13, 2018. The margin of error is +/- 3.8%. This poll was conducted by automated telephone interviews.
 FL-27
The Congressional seat in Florida’s 27
th
 Congressional District is looking to be quite
competitive. Ahead of this year’s election, a Democratic candidate is leading in a
hypothetical election matchup against a Republican candidate 54-39. Candidates should  be aware that the tax plan recently passed is unpopular in this district. After voters were given more information about the tax and health care plans, 51% said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and 41% said they would vote for the Republican candidate.
Support Oppose Recently-passed Tax Reform Law* 38%
46%
Yes No Personally Benefit from Tax Law* 38%
48%

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